Minggu, 25 September 2011

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Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions, by John S. Hammond, Ralph L. Keeney, Howard Raiffa

Where should I live? Is it time to get a new job? Which job candidate should I hire? What business strategy should I pursue?

We spend the majority of our lives making decisions, both big and small. Yet, even though our success is largely determined by the choices that we make, very few of us are equipped with useful decision-making skills. Because of this, we often approach our choices tentatively, or even fearfully, and avoid giving them the time and thought required to put our best foot forward.

In Smart Choices, John Hammond, Ralph Keeney, and Howard Raiffa—experts with over 100 years of experience resolving complex decision problems—offer a proven, straightforward, and flexible roadmap for making better and more impactful decisions, and offer the tools to achieve your goals in every aspect of your life.

Their step-by-step, divide-and conquer approach will teach you how to:
• Evaluate your plans
• Break your potential decision into its key elements
• Identify the key drivers that are most relevant to your goals
• Apply systematic thinking
• Use the right information to make the smartest choice

Smart Choices doesn’t tell you what to decide; it tells you how. As you routinely use the process, you’ll become more confident in your ability to make decisions at work and at home. And, more importantly, by applying its time-tested methods, you’ll make better decisions going forward.

Be proactive. Don’t wait until a decision is forced on you—or made for you. Seek out decisions that advance your long-term goals, values, and beliefs. Take charge of your life by making Smart Choices a lifetime habit.

  • Sales Rank: #53802 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-08-25
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.30" h x 1.00" w x 5.70" l, 1.58 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 256 pages

Amazon.com Review
Have you ever hired someone only to regret your decision two months later? Or looked at your financial portfolio and wondered why you bought the stocks you did? In Smart Choices, authors John S. Hammond, Ralph L. Keeney, and Howard Raiffa take the guesswork out of the decision-making process and offer a systematic approach to making the right choice. Most of us have problems making decisions, because we've never learned how. The authors write: Despite the importance of decision making to our lives, few of us ever receive any training in it. So we are left to learn from experience. But experience is a costly, inefficient teacher that teaches us bad habits along with good ones. Because decision situations vary so markedly, the experience of making one important decision often seems of little use when facing the next. Smart Choices outlines eight elements involved in making the right decision, from identifying exactly what the decision is and specifying your objectives to considering risk tolerance and looking at how what you decide on today influences what you may decide in the future. The book is full of real-life situations and scenarios that effectively illustrate each element of a good decision. If you think the topic of making the right choice is mundane or a simple matter of common sense, then think again. Smart Choices will relieve you of the regret that so many of us carry because we didn't know how to "think it through." --Harry C. Edwards

From Publishers Weekly
In 1966, the Lovin' Spoonful had a #2 hit with "Did You Ever Have to Make Up Your Mind?" Two years later, Raiffa answered that question for a generation of academics with his book Decision Analysis, whose argumentAthat decision-making skills can be learned and applied as a discipline of their ownAmade Raiffa deeply influential in management and social science. Raiffa (a former professor at Harvard Business School), his longtime associate Hammond (a professor of management and engineering at the University of Southern California) and Ralph Keeney (The Art and Science of Negotiation) here explain decision-analysis techniques and stratagems for the benefit of nonspecialists. They provide substantial, straightforward explanations of concepts (risk tolerance, sunk costs, desirability curves) that sound arcane but may help readers to buy the right car, choose a mutual fund, decide on a school, or plan a vacation. Unfortunately, the lingo of self-help often substitutes for the jargon of management consulting, as when Raiffa's famous five decision steps become the trendy acronym PrOACT. And the example problems can seem clich?d, two-dimensional or implausible, even when based on fact. Nevertheless, recommendations like "Remember that the value of an incremental change depends on what you start with" and "Make sure your subordinates reflect your organization's risk tolerance in their decisions" are, at the least, good reminders that the logic of decision making is often counterintuitive; at best, they are an important, useful set of insights.
Copyright 1998 Reed Business Information, Inc.

From Booklist
The three authors, all of whom come from academic backgrounds and specialize in decision science, argue that "making smart choices is a fundamental life skill" that can be taught. They provide a practical model for decision making and demonstrate that it can be applied in both personal and business situations. They show that the key is to break the decision into its individual elements, identify those that are most important, and analyze potential outcomes. The authors also stress that decisions should be made before they turn into problems. Their so-called PROACTive approach can be broken down mnemonically. Identify the PRoblem, specify the Objectives, create Alternatives, understand the Consequences, and weigh the Trade-offs. Following these steps, one must clarify uncertainty, assess risks, and be aware of what other choices a decision might create. From choosing a career to planning an employee party, the authors use a wide range of examples to demonstrate their approach. David Rouse

Most helpful customer reviews

84 of 90 people found the following review helpful.
Put this one at the top of your reading list
By EP
I had the pleasure of reading this book last year as assigned material in a graduate business course taught by Ralph Keeney. My degree is in information systems management and, frankly, I took Managerial Decision Analysis only because I needed 3 elective credits to graduate. In retrospect, however, the course was among the most beneficial to me and Smart Choices was certainly the most relevant book I read in graduate school. I say it was the most relevant because it demonstrates how to define problems and make decisions not simply as a business leader, but as an individual. The PROACT approach is a valuable tool for making formal decisions like "Which career path should I choose?" or "Which software package should I recommend to my client?" But the mentality that the approach engenders is pervasive. You will find yourself unwittingly applying elements of it to questions like "How should I spend time with my kids this weekend?" or "What is the best Valentine's Day gift for my wife?" The greatest benefit to me has been the piece of mind that comes with knowing that I don't just make better decisions -- I am now a better decision maker.

45 of 47 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent summary of a difficult subject
By A Customer
I have read many books on decision analysis - however, the 3 authors managed to condense the most relevant points in one book, without academic speak. The famous Kahnmann & Tversky's Heuristics and Biases are nicely summarised in the final chapter. The case studies are easy to relate to. Definitely a professional book written for the layman. No need for a PhD to understand this!

37 of 40 people found the following review helpful.
A useful guide for systematic decision-making
By A Customer
This is an excellent book. The title may make this appear to be one of the too-numerous mass-market books which claim to offer advice on business and personal decision-making but actually offer lots of specific admonitions which are based on values which the reader may not share (example: anything by Steven Covey). This book, however, doesn't try to sell you any of the the authors' values; instead it teaches you an effective process that you can use to analyze any decision-making situation and make the choices which are most effective for achieving your objectives, whatever they may be. The book treats the subject in the same systematic way that it might be treated in an academic decision theory text, only it is written in plain language which can be read quickly and easily comprehended by the general reader. It finishes with a summary outline (they call it a "roadmap") which is a useful quick reference.

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Rabu, 21 September 2011

[D474.Ebook] Free Ebook Twenty Five Ways to Fly Better Volume 1, by Bruce Goldsmith

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Twenty Five Ways to Fly Better Volume 1 is packed with the latest techniques and thinking from some of the world’s best pilots and instructors. With former Paragliding World Champion Bruce Goldsmith at the helm, the book draws on advice and knowledge from across the world of free flight.

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Packed with clear and simple illustrations
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  • Sales Rank: #310727 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2015-05-05
  • Released on: 2015-05-05
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Good read and great insights
By Amazon Customer
As a P3 pilot the collection of authors contributing to Bruce Goldsmith's book prepares me for the next step of bigger and better cross country flying.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Gary and Colleen
Awesome

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
My husband and I both enjoyed this book
By Theresa
My husband and I both enjoyed this book. He is an advanced pilot and I am a novice. Great insight for both of us.

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Senin, 19 September 2011

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The Urban Sketching Handbook: Understanding Perspective: Easy Techniques for Mastering Perspective Drawing on Location (Urban Sketching Han

A good sketch starts with good bones.

Often challenging and overwhelming to sketchers, the fourth book in the Urban Sketching Handbook series uses drawings and simple steps to explain the concepts of perspective in practical and useful ways for on-site sketching. Most books are either too abstract or don't provide enough information that relates to what you actually do when you're out in the busy, wide world about to start a drawing. Where do you start? How do you edit what you see to flatten and shrink it onto your paper? How does perspective work?

The Urban Sketching Handbook: Understanding Perspective helps you learn to think like an architect, to draw buildings and spaces by reducing what you see to simple, basic shapes, then adding layers in simple steps, and finally finishing your sketch with detail, tone, and color--in accurate perspective. Full of helpful tips, architect and illustrator, Stephanie Bower even de-constructs sketches to show you how to create them! Once you understand perspective, it will change the way you see the world--you'll see perspective everywhere.

Some of the key concepts explored in this volume are:

- Basic Terms

- Basic Spatial Principles

- Types of Perspective

- Building a Sketch in Layers

- Special Conditions

  • Sales Rank: #14738 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-06-15
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.25" h x .50" w x 5.25" l, .55 pounds
  • Binding: Flexibound
  • 112 pages

About the Author
Honored with the 2013 and 2012 KRob Architectural Delineation awards for Best Travel Sketch and the 2013 Gabriel Prize fellowship for 3 months in France, Stephanie Bower is a Seattle-based architectural illustrator, teacher, watercolorist, and traveling Urban Sketcher.Stephanie worked as a licensed Architect in New York City before gravitating to professional architectural illustration and concept design. In Seattle, she produces pencil and watercolor images for many renowned architecture and design firms.For over twenty-five years, Stephanie has taught the how-to's of architectural sketching--for a decade in New York City at Parsons, in Seattle at the University of Washington and Cornish College of the Arts, and most recently, in popular sketching workshops called "Good Bones" where she teaches the concepts of basic perspective sketching and watercolor. She was an instructor at the 2014 Urban Sketchers Symposium in Paraty, Brazil and also teaches an annual workshop in Civita di Bagnoregio ITALY. People around the world follow her sketches online via Flickr, her blog "Drawing Perspectives", and as blog correspondent for Urban Sketchers. She is also a signature member of the Northwest Watercolor Society.Stephanie continues to learn about architecture through her sketches, pursuing her lifelong dream of seeing the world, sketching, teaching and encouraging others to see their world through the magic of drawing.website: www.stephaniebower.comblog: www.stephaniebower.blogspot.comsketches: www.flickr.com/photos/83075812@N07/correspondent: www.urbansketchers.org

Most helpful customer reviews

10 of 10 people found the following review helpful.
And it's SO easy once you understand
By Terrie
After reading dozens of books, taking classes, making all sorts of efforts to understand perspective drawing (and failing!), Stephanie's simple, clear instruction and tips has given me many "aha" moments. Really, why isn't perspective always explained so clearly? Everyone always talks about the vanishing point, but never really explained how to find it. Stephanie does. And it's SO easy once you understand. Everyone talks about foreshortening and converging. Stephanie clearly shows how it works and when to use it.

The book is filled with a wealth of sketches from urban sketchers all over the world - my only small complaint is that some of the drawings are almost too small to see very well. But, the sketches show many different styles and her accompanying analysis of the sketches is SO helpful.....she identifies the horizon or eye-level line and vanishing point in them and draws your attention to all the reasons the perspective works.

The book is small, yet mighty. It's full of pretty pictures, yet educational. It's written simply, yet clearly. It'll be in my sketching bag for quick reference from now on (I've already marked certain passages & folded down pages to return to)!
If you've ever struggled with perspective drawing, this is the handbook for you. If you've ever thought "I wish I could draw a building or landscape and have it look more realistic", this is the book for you. Because I'm here to tell you, Stephanie makes it easy to understand.

11 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
Simple and to the point
By Melinda
I took Stephanie's Craftsy class and really enjoyed it. There is some overlap but the book also covers a few extra things like reflections, arches and slopes. It's the first time perspective has ever clicked for me. Simple and to the point. I like that I can refer to things quick and that the topics/examples are succinct.

12 of 13 people found the following review helpful.
Great Content; Terrible Font Makes Reading It Difficult
By Camille Louise B.
I have given a lot of thought to how to review this book. The content is excellent and the author deserves five stars, The publisher, however, made a terrible decision regarding the font, the font size, and using weak pale ink on white paper. I have to use a magnifying glass to read it which is ridiculous. The author puts together a very helpful book, then the publisher makes a stupid decision about the font and the ink so it is difficult to read. I have noticed this same thing in some other new books. I hope it is not the trend. I know the business schools now teach making money takes precedence over serving the customer. In this case, the publisher has done a disservice to both the author and to those who are buying her book.

See all 30 customer reviews...

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The Rook: A Novel, by Daniel O'Malley

Myfanwy Thomas awakes in a London park surrounded by dead bodies. With her memory gone, her only hope of survival is to trust the instructions left in her pocket by her former self. She quickly learns that she is a Rook, a high-level operative in a secret agency that protects the world from supernatural threats. But there is a mole inside the organization - and this person wants her dead.

As Myfanwy battles to save herself, she encounters a person with four bodies, a woman who can enter her dreams, children transformed into deadly fighters, and an unimaginably vast conspiracy.

Suspenseful and hilarious, The Rookis an outrageously inventive debut for listeners who like their espionage with a dollop of purple slime.

  • Sales Rank: #3467 in Audible
  • Published on: 2012-03-01
  • Format: Unabridged
  • Original language: English
  • Running time: 1071 minutes

Most helpful customer reviews

148 of 162 people found the following review helpful.
This book makes me angry
By R. Garcia
If you're actually reading a review of a book then I imagine you've been in this situation before. You turn the last page (swipe the last location, whatever) of a fantastic book and then it hits you.

It's over.

That book that so completely swallowed you whole has ended and there's no more. No more exciting revelations. No more interesting characters. No more wondering what's on the next page because there is no next page.

And then the anger sets in. Anger because you know, no matter what, the next book you read can't possibly be this good. You'll likely pick up something tepid or boring or uninteresting, at least by comparison to what you just finished. And you're angry because all books should be this fun but they aren't, they just aren't.

The Rook is one of those books. So if the brief description available on the page or other reviews hasn't swayed you, then at least you can be warned that reading this may ruin other book reading for a while.

At least until the sequel comes out.

82 of 91 people found the following review helpful.
Shut Up and Take My Money!
By Nickolas X. P. Sharps
About once a week I get really excited about a new novel I'm reading, declaring that it might just be the best book I've read all year. Ask my friends, they'll resignedly confirm this. In keeping with tradition, 80 pages into The Rook by Daniel O'Malley my excitement was running full bore. "You have to buy this book! It is so freaking awesome!" I would say. Their reply: finish the book, write a review, and then tell us to buy it. Yeah well I've finished the book, this is me writing the review, and at the very end I'm going to tell you to buy it.

If you look up reviews or descriptions of The Rook you are bound to come away with a quite the impression. I've seen comparisons made to X-Men, Buffy the Vampire Slayer, Ghostbusters, Monty Python, Men in Black, The Maltese Falcon, and The Bourne Identity. I would agree with those comparisons and hazard to throw in a few comparisons of my own. The Rook also blends the supernatural and the mundane like Lev Grossman's The Magicians, and may even be considered reminiscent of some of the creepier episodes of Doctor Who. So yeah, that is a lot to take in. It sounds like this O'Malley guy took a sci-fi/fantasy buffet and crammed it all in a blender. Fortunately the result isn't some hideous fictional slop, but a genre-bending supernatural spy thriller smoothie.

Myfanwy Thomas opens her eyes and she is not who she was. Surrounding her are dead men wearing suits and latex gloves. She is aching from a serious beating and soaked to the bone from the rain. In her pocket is a letter from her body's previous occupant warning her of an imminent threat to her life. She is given two options: run away and live in comfort or find out who has betrayed her and given her a wicked case of amnesia. And so begins Myfanwy's service in Her Majesty's Supernatural Secret Service.

I cannot believe that The Rook is Daniel O'Malley's debut novel. Seriously. I know of plenty notable authors that go their whole career without writing anything near as inventive and entertaining as The Rook. It's almost criminal how good this book is. It even has an amnesia plot for God's sake! Amnesia plots are usually so awful. Myfanwy, without Myfanwy (pronounced like Tiffany but with an `M') I'm not sure O'Malley could have pulled it off. Myfanwy is thrust into the cloak and dagger world of the Chequy, a secret organization dedicated to defending Queen and Country against paranormal threats, with only letters from her pre-amnesia self for guidance. The two Myfanwy's really can be considered separate characters. The pre-amnesia version is shy and soft spoken, an excellent administrator with the disturbing knowledge of her impending doom. The post-amnesia version is much more assertive but still finds herself in way over her head as she adjusts to life as a Rook on the Court of the Chequy. Both Myfanwy's are lovable and the first person narrative is full of wry wit.

Other members of the Court consist of: Gestalt, four bodies (three male and one female) all controlled by one hive mind. Heretic Gubbins, a contortionist whose body is seemingly made out of rubber. Eckhart, a soldier who can sculpt metal with his bare hands. Grantchester, an executive with the ability to release nerve gas from his pores. Alrich, a seductive creature of the night. Farrier, a woman who stalks the dreams of others. And Wattleman, who I regretfully forget what his power is. These characters are both wonderfully diverse and vastly interesting. My particular favorite is Gestalt because the idea of one mind controlling four bodies simultaneously and separately is just the coolest thing ever. One of these super-powered leaders of the most powerful secret society in existence is responsible for Myfanwy's amnesia and she must discover who and why.

Despite being a member of an organization that battles threats from mankind's darkest nightmares and possessing an extremely useful super-power of her own (the gift of control over other people's nervous systems by touch alone), Myfanwy is a glorified paper pusher. She is a bureaucrat and a darn good one at that. Not only must she adjust to a new life and conduct investigation into the traitor, but she is also responsible for the daily domestic affairs of the Chequy. The Chequy is an absurdly cool organization and I would love to see some of the action from the combat personnel but O'Malley does a superb job of infusing Myfanwy's occupation with action. Reading about Myfanwy conducting operations from her office is thrilling enough and when she finally does roll up her sleeves and gets some dirt (or fungus) on her hands it is even better.

The Chequy's long standing enemies, the Grafters are equal parts disturbing and awesome. A scientific brotherhood of fleshcrafters get an A+ for originality. The threat the Grafters pose is substantial and despite all the danger and suspense O'Malley layers in copious amounts of humor. There is one paragraph listing all sorts of supernatural horrors that had me laughing all the way through. The Rook is a sort of meta-book, much in the way that The Cabin in The Wood is a movie that encompasses the whole of the horror genre. The Rook is one half homage, one half spoof, and one half evolution of the genre. Don't check my math on that.

It goes without saying (because I've been drooling in affection for the last seven paragraphs) that The Rook is an amazing novel. Fun and imaginative, O'Malley has written an instant classic. The ending remains my only complaint, once again I have come across a sort of anti-climax, but don't let that prevent you from buying this one. O'Malley has a bright future paved in gold and I simply cannot wait for the next Chequy novel. The Rook is the best book I've read all year, go buy it.

*The magical Goatfairy grants The Rook by Daniel O'Malley, 10 out of 10 cheesewands*

Nick Sharps
Goatfairy Review Blog

103 of 118 people found the following review helpful.
Little x-men, dash of buffy, and a whole lotta awesome
By texasflower
I picked this book up on a whim while at the bookstore. Just seemed really interesting. Once I started reading I didn't want to put it down. There is just enough humor to keep it from feeling overly stuffy and just enough intrigue to keep it from being overly fluffy. The idea of a secret spy agency that is designed to monitor the world's supernatural goings-on is not a new one, but the author takes it and makes it his own. There are definite parts of the book/plot that remind me of xmen, buffy the vampire slayer, xfiles, harry potter - but at the same time not in a bad way. The book melds all those together very well. It's a good read from start to finish. I look forward to reading more from this author!

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The Science of Breathing, by Swami Vivekananda

Swami Vivekananda (1863-1902) was the Hindu monk who introduced the philosophy of Yoga to the western world in the late XIX Century.

“The Science of Breathing” collects his writings on the practice of meditative breathing. All the texts were written in 1900.

  • Sales Rank: #59886 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2012-12-25
  • Released on: 2012-12-25
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Most helpful customer reviews

7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
what breathing?
By j'aimelire
Breathing might be a science but I have seen nothing of it.... just that there is prana and we need to learn how to breathe. No exercise no technique, no how to, no reference to another ..book!!!I have a lot of respect for the author but this book is almost a joke!!!!

7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Better read Raja-Yoga
By Siddharth Shukla
Having read his Complete Works, this book seems to contain tit bits from Raja-Yoga and other lectures on the subject. You might better read the major work entitled, Raja-Yoga.

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Very Clear , perfect explanation .
By Pat
Opened my eyes to what is real and what I need to do the get there . I can't express how helpfull this little book is .

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Mama te quiero tanto / Mother I Love you so Much (Spanish Edition), by Tony Wolf

  • Published on: 2007-06-30
  • Original language: Spanish
  • Binding: Hardcover

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  • Sales Rank: #10305 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-09-29
  • Original language: English
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x .44" w x 6.00" l,
  • Binding: Mass Market Paperback
  • 194 pages

About the Author
Adam Clarke is an entrepreneur, bestselling author, business advisor and search engine optimization professional. After learning programming at the age of 7, and later dropping out of design college to start an Internet marketing and advertising agency, Adam has since launched several successful Internet businesses and has become an authority on business strategy and SEO. Best known for his best-selling book SEO 2016, Adam has achieved thousands of number #1 rankings in Google and grown dozens of business online. Now you can read the ground-breaking book that reveals the inner workings of Google, and learn how to grow any business online. Adam Clarke is a Google Analytics and Google AdWords certified professional with the Google Partners program.

Most helpful customer reviews

14 of 14 people found the following review helpful.
Comprehensive Easy Guide Worth reading - highly recommend buying
By Lynne
I thoroughly enjoyed this book. The book covered everything from basic information on how Google works to taking you on a journey through the technical steps of marketing a business in the search results. I finished this book in less than 24 hours and wrote a lot of notes and highlighted several important factors to revisit. After finishing the book, I immediately worked with my Web Site Developer on the results to improve my business. I have already started utilizing many of the pointers I picked up in the book and already see results in less than a week. I was appreciative of the external resources and specific techniques I can put to use. The book is practical and easy to understand - it covers everything
for beginners to advanced levels. Highly recommend purchasing this book - you won't be disappointed.

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Powerful handbook for any business owner or marketer to have!
By VelvetLady
I did a lot of research before finally settling on this book. It's thoroughly researched and well put together. The author makes complicated concepts easy to understand. He also touches on advanced tactics so experienced readers will walk away with at least a handful of new tactics. The author does this while making it fun, it feels like you have a good friend explaining the whole process.

This is a powerful resource not just on SEO but for growing a business. It covers all the essential information on SEO, also covers local marketing and even pay-per-click campaigns. Some areas are covered, but looks like this was on purpose, everything is easy to understand and it doesn't make you fall asleep like reading an encyclopedia.

My only complaint, I would have liked more information in the section about analytics. It covers general information on this, I would have liked more detail on knowing where to pay attention after improving my rankings and traffic.

I've seen lots of businesses do well with SEO and I've seen lots of businesses struggle because they don't understand SEO and neither does their SEO guy, so I think it's important to get the right knowledge. Anyone with this guide on their desk will inevitably find it an essential resource they will refer to on a weekly or maybe even daily basis. Highly recommend this book to anyone that wants the best all-round-guide on SEO and grow their business.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
SEO 2016: Search Engine Optimization at its Best
By Harry
Search engine optimization is demystified and finally made simple and easy to understand in this book. It has a lot of information from core essentials to advanced strategies. It does get technical in some areas, but the author balances this out with his conversational style. It covers the latest RankBrain, Mobile and Penguin updates and I couldn't find this information in other books, so I give the author bonus points for covering this new information.

See all 232 customer reviews...

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